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Rational Choice in an Uncertain World - The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making
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Rational Choice in an Uncertain World - The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making - Livres de poche

2010, ISBN: 9781412959032

[ED: Taschenbuch / Paperback], [PU: Sage Publications], KURZE BESCHREIBUNG/ANMERKUNGEN: The award-winning introduction now has more on the role of emotions, happiness and general well-being in decision making research on the neuroscience of decision processes and more on the adaptive value of non-rational heuristics. AUSFÜHRLICHERE BESCHREIBUNG: In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams. INHALT: Chapter 1 - Thinking and Deciding 1.1 Decision Making Is a Skill 1.2 Thinking: automatic and Controlled 1.3 The Computational Model of the Mind 1.4 Through the Darkest Psychoanalytical Theory and Behaviorism to Cognition 1.5 Quality of Choice: Rationality 1.6 The Invention of Modern Decision Theory Chapter 2 - What Is Decision Making? 2.1 Definition of a Decision 2.2 Picturing Decisions 2.3 Decision Quality, Revisited 2.4 Incomplete Thinking: A Legal Example 2.5 Over-Inclusive Thinking: Sunk Costs 2.6 The Rationality of Considering Only the Future 2.7 The Rest of This Book Chapter 3 - A General Framework for Judgment 3.1 A Conceptual Framework for Judgment and Prediction 3.2 Research With the Lens Model Framework 3.3 Capturing Judgment in Statistical Models 3.4 How Do Statistical Models Beat Human Judgment? 3.5 Practical Implications of the Surprising Success of the Linear Model 3.6 Objections and Rebuttals 3.7 The Role of Judgment in Choices and Decisions Chapter 4 - The Fundamental Judgment Strategy: Anchoring and Adjustment 4.1 Salient Values 4.2 Anchoring and (Insufficient) Adjustment 4.3 Anchoring on Ourselves 4.4 Anchoring the Past in the Present Chapter 5 - Judging Heuristically 5.1 Going Beyond the Information Given 5.2 Estimating Frequencies and probabilities 5.3 Availability of Memories 5.4 Biased Samples in Memory 5.5 Biased Sampling From Memory 5.6 Availability to the Imagination 5.7 From Availability to Probablility and Causality 5.8 Judgment by Similarity: Same Old Things 5.9 Representative Thinking 5.10 The Ratio Rule Chapter 6 - Explanation-Based Judgments 6.1 Everyone Likes a Good Story 6.2 The Conjunction Probabliity Error (Again) 6.3 Judging From Explanations 6.4 Legal Scenarios: The Best Story Wins in the Courtroom 6.5 Scenarios About Ourselves 6.6 Scenarios About the Unthinkable 6.7 Hindsight: Reconstructing the Past 6.8 Sometimes It's Better to Forget Chapter 7 - Chance and Cause 7.1 Misconceptions About Chance 7.2 Illusions of Control 7.3 Seeing Causal Structure Where It Isn't 7.4 Regression Toward the Mean 7.5 Reflections on Our Inability to Accept Randomness Chapter 8 - Thinking Rationally About Uncertainty 8.1 What to Do About the Biases 8.2 Getting Started Thinking in Terms of Probabilities 8.3 Comprehending the Situation Being Judged 8.4 Testing for Rationality 8.5 How to Think About Inverse Probabilities 8.6 Avoiding Subadditivity and Conjunction Errors 8.7 The Other Side of the Coin: The Probability of a Disjunction of Events 8.8 Changing Our Minds: Bayes's Theorem 8.9 Statistical Decision Theory 8.10 Concluding Comment on Rationality Chapter 9 - Evaluating Consequences: Fundamental Preferences 9.1 What Good is Happiness? 9.2 The Role of Emotions in Evaluations 9.3 The Value of Money 9.4 Decision Utility -- Predicting What We will Value 9.5 Constructing Values Chapter 10 - From Preferences to Choices 10.1 Deliberate Choices Among Complex Alternatives 10.2 Ordering Alternatives 10.3 Grouping Alternatives 10.4 Choosing Alternatives 10.5 How to Make Good Choices Chapter 11 - A Rational Decision Theory 11.1 Formally Defining Rationality 11.2 Making Theories Understandable -- The Axiomatic Method 11.3 Defining Rationality: Expected Utility Theory 11.4 Traditional Objections to the Axioms 11.5 The Shoulds and Dos of the System 11.6 Some Bum Raps for Decision Analysis Chapter 12 - A Descriptive Decision Theory 12.1 Non-expected Utility Theories 12.2 Gain-Loss Framing Effects 12.3 Loss Aversion 12.4 Look to the Future Chapter 13 - What's Next? New Directions in Research on Judgment and Decision Making 13.1 The Neuroscience of Decisions 13.2 Emotions in Decision Making 13.3 The Rise of Experimental Methods to Study Dynamic Decisions 13.4 Do We Really Know Where We're Headed? Chapter 14 - In Praise of Uncertianty 14.1 Uncertainty as Negative 14.2 The Illusion of Hedonic Certainty 14.3 The Price of Denying Uncert, [SC: 0.00], Neuware, gewerbliches Angebot, H: 230mm, B: 153mm, T: 13mm, [GW: 477g]

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Rational Choice in an Uncertain World - Reid K. Hastie
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Reid K. Hastie:
Rational Choice in an Uncertain World - nouveau livre

2010, ISBN: 9781412959032

ID: 9781412959032

Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: Paperback: SAGE Publications Inc: 9781412959032: 17 Jan 2010: The award-winning introduction now has more on the role of emotions, happiness and general well-being in decision making; research on the neuroscience of decision processes; and more on the adaptive value of non-rational heuristics. The authors are highly respected as leading figures in the field of judgment and decision making. There are many existing books on topics related to judgment and decision making, but this book makes a unique contribution to this field because of its systematic and scholarly approach, and its breadth of coverage. Robert Goldstone, Indiana University Reid Hastie and Robyn Dawes are two of the most eminent researchers in the field. I know these authors to be excellent writers and I have no doubt that their writing style will be suitable for my students. William Goldstein, University of Chicago In the new edition of this award-winning text, renowned authors Reid Hastie and Robyn Dawes compare and contrast the basic principles of rationality with actual behavior in making decisions. This book explores theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. New to This Edition Chapter introductions, conclusions, and cross-references between chapters make the text more student friendlyAn abundance of examples from areas such as finance, medicine, law, and engineering anchor concepts to the real worldIncreased consideration of descriptive, psychological models of decision makingaugment the original emphasis on normative, rational, Expected Utility Theory models, bring the book up to dateBalance among the three major approaches to judgment and decision making: cognitive psychological analyses of mental processes and heuristics, descriptive algebraic models of judgment and decision processes, and rational. Cognition & Cognitive Psychology, , , , Rational Choice in an Uncertain World, Reid K. Hastie, 9781412959032, SAGE Publications Inc, , , , ,, [PU: SAGE Publications]

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Rational Choice In An Uncertain World: The Psychology Of Judgment And Decision Making
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Rational Choice In An Uncertain World: The Psychology Of Judgment And Decision Making - nouveau livre

ISBN: 9781412959032

ID: 978141295903

The authors are highly respected as leading figures in the field of judgment and decision making. There are many existing books on topics related to judgment and decision making, but this book makes a unique contribution to this field because of its systematic and scholarly approach, and its breadth of coverage.-Robert Goldstone, Indiana University Reid Hastie and Robyn Dawes are two of the most eminent researchers in the field. I know these authors to be excellent writers and I have no doubt that their writing style will be suitable for my students. -William Goldstein, University of Chicago In the new edition of this award-winning text, renowned authors Reid Hastie and Robyn Dawes compare and contrast the basic principles of rationality with actual behavior in making decisions. This book explores theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. New to This Edition Chapter introductions, conclusions, and cross-references between chapters make the text more student friendly An abundance of examples from areas such as finance, medicine, law, and engineering anchor concepts to the real world Increased consideration of descriptive, psychological models of decision making augment the original emphasis on normative, rational, Expected Utility Theory models, bring the book up to date Balance among the three major approaches to judgment and decision making: cognitive psychological analyses of mental processes and heuristics, descriptive algebraic models of judgment and decision pr Books, Health and Well Being, Rational Choice In An Uncertain World: The Psychology Of Judgment And Decision Making Books>Health and Well Being, Sage Publications

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Rational Choice in an Uncertain World - Robyn M. Dawes#Reid Hastie
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The award-winning introduction now has more on the role of emotions, happiness and general well-being in decision making; research on the neuroscience of decision processes; and more on the adaptive value of non-rational heuristics. In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams. Bücher / Fremdsprachige Bücher / Englische Bücher 978-1-4129-5903-2, Sage Publications

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Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making - Hastie, Reid; Dawes, Robyn M.
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Hastie, Reid; Dawes, Robyn M.:
Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making - Livres de poche

2010, ISBN: 1412959039

ID: 20309527565

[EAN: 9781412959032], Neubuch, [PU: SAGE Publications, Inc], Psychology & Psychiatry|Cognitive Psychology

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Détails sur le livre
Rational Choice in an Uncertain World
Auteur:

Hastie, Reid / Dawes, Robyn M.

Titre:

Rational Choice in an Uncertain World

ISBN:

In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - More coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - A summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - More discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - Expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams.

Informations détaillées sur le livre - Rational Choice in an Uncertain World


EAN (ISBN-13): 9781412959032
ISBN (ISBN-10): 1412959039
Version reliée
Livre de poche
Date de parution: 2010
Editeur: Sage Publications Ltd.
392 Pages
Poids: 0,475 kg
Langue: eng/Englisch

Livre dans la base de données depuis 17.11.2008 15:39:56
Livre trouvé récemment le 27.04.2017 10:42:36
ISBN/EAN: 9781412959032

ISBN - Autres types d'écriture:
1-4129-5903-9, 978-1-4129-5903-2


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