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Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities - Anthony O'Hagan, Caitlin E. Buck, Alireza Daneshkhah, J. Richard Eiser, Paul H. Garthwaite, David J. Jenkinson, Jeremy E. Oakley, Tim Rakow
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Anthony O'Hagan, Caitlin E. Buck, Alireza Daneshkhah, J. Richard Eiser, Paul H. Garthwaite, David J. Jenkinson, Jeremy E. Oakley, Tim Rakow:

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities - edition reliée, livre de poche

ISBN: 0470029994

[SR: 265068], Hardcover, [EAN: 9780470029992], Wiley, Wiley, Book, [PU: Wiley], Wiley, Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences., 13983, Probability & Statistics, 226699, Applied, 13884, Mathematics, 75, Science & Math, 1000, Subjects, 283155, Books, 491548, Statistics, 468218, Mathematics, 468216, Science & Mathematics, 465600, New, Used & Rental Textbooks, 2349030011, Specialty Boutique, 283155, Books

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Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities - Anthony O'Hagan, Caitlin E. Buck, Alireza Daneshkhah, J. Richard Eiser, Paul H. Garthwaite, David J. Jenkinson, Jeremy E. Oakley, Tim Rakow
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Anthony O'Hagan, Caitlin E. Buck, Alireza Daneshkhah, J. Richard Eiser, Paul H. Garthwaite, David J. Jenkinson, Jeremy E. Oakley, Tim Rakow:

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities - edition reliée, livre de poche

ISBN: 0470029994

[SR: 265068], Hardcover, [EAN: 9780470029992], Wiley, Wiley, Book, [PU: Wiley], Wiley, Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences., 13983, Probability & Statistics, 226699, Applied, 13884, Mathematics, 75, Science & Math, 1000, Subjects, 283155, Books, 491548, Statistics, 468218, Mathematics, 468216, Science & Mathematics, 465600, New, Used & Rental Textbooks, 2349030011, Specialty Boutique, 283155, Books

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Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences. Medicine Medicine eBook, Wiley

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Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities - Anthony O'Hagan; Caitlin E. Buck; Alireza Daneshkhah; J. Richard Eiser; Paul H. Garthwaite; David J. Jenkinson
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Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: * Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. * Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. * Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. * Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. * Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ide mathematics,science and math,science and math,statistics,textbooks Statistics, Wiley

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Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (Statistics in Practice) - Alireza Daneshkhah  Anthony O'Hagan  Caitlin E. Buck  David J. Jenkinson  J. Richard Eiser  Jeremy E. Oakley  Paul H. Garthwaite  Tim Rakow
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Alireza Daneshkhah Anthony O'Hagan Caitlin E. Buck David J. Jenkinson J. Richard Eiser Jeremy E. Oakley Paul H. Garthwaite Tim Rakow:
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ISBN: 9780470029992

ID: 9780470029992

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (Statistics in Practice) Author :Alireza Daneshkhah Anthony O'Hagan Caitlin E. Buck David J. Jenkinson J. Richard Eiser Jeremy E. Oakley Paul H. Garthwaite Tim Rakow 9780470029992 0470029994, [PU: Wiley]

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Détails sur le livre
Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities
Auteur:

O'Hagan, Anthony; Buck, Caitlin E.; Daneshkhah, Alireza

Titre:

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities

ISBN:

0470029994

Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: * Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. * Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. * Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. * Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. * Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.

Informations détaillées sur le livre - Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities


EAN (ISBN-13): 9780470029992
ISBN (ISBN-10): 0470029994
Version reliée
Livre de poche
Date de parution: 2006
Editeur: John Wiley & Sons
321 Pages
Poids: 0,660 kg
Langue: eng/Englisch

Livre dans la base de données depuis 18.10.2007 19:49:12
Livre trouvé récemment le 19.09.2016 18:13:58
ISBN/EAN: 0470029994

ISBN - Autres types d'écriture:
0-470-02999-4, 978-0-470-02999-2

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